San Francisco
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
139  Charlotte Taylor JR 20:09
164  Elena Burkard SR 20:13
198  Weronika Pyzik FR 20:19
364  Tatjana Schulte FR 20:42
881  Daryl Phill JR 21:26
1,082  Kelsey Nielsen SO 21:41
1,175  Haley Dorris SO 21:47
1,387  Emma Stahr FR 22:02
National Rank #35 of 339
West Region Rank #5 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.4%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.9%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 15.9%
Top 10 in Regional 86.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Charlotte Taylor Elena Burkard Weronika Pyzik Tatjana Schulte Daryl Phill Kelsey Nielsen Haley Dorris Emma Stahr
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 931 19:55 20:47 21:49 20:46 21:25
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 798 20:13 20:21 20:44 20:30 21:08 21:54 21:25
West Coast Conference 10/31 743 20:16 20:11 20:12 20:42 21:38 21:28 21:43
West Region Championships 11/13 645 20:12 20:06 19:54 20:32 21:14 22:34 22:11
NCAA Championship 11/21 778 20:13 20:00 20:17 21:24 21:29 22:53 22:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.4% 23.1 562 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 7.9 267 0.0 0.1 0.9 14.9 16.7 16.7 15.4 12.5 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Taylor 22.4% 95.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Elena Burkard 16.0% 99.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Weronika Pyzik 7.9% 123.1
Tatjana Schulte 3.4% 171.0
Daryl Phill 3.4% 242.3
Kelsey Nielsen 3.4% 247.8
Haley Dorris 3.5% 249.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Taylor 24.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.7 2.8 2.6 3.0 3.3
Elena Burkard 27.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.7 3.2
Weronika Pyzik 34.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.6 2.2
Tatjana Schulte 59.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
Daryl Phill 117.6
Kelsey Nielsen 140.3
Haley Dorris 151.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.0 0.1 3
4 0.9% 93.2% 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 4
5 14.9% 14.0% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 12.8 2.1 5
6 16.7% 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 16.4 0.3 6
7 16.7% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.6 0.1 7
8 15.4% 15.4 8
9 12.5% 12.5 9
10 9.0% 9.0 10
11 6.7% 6.7 11
12 3.3% 3.3 12
13 1.9% 1.9 13
14 1.1% 1.1 14
15 0.6% 0.6 15
16 0.2% 0.2 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 3.4% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 96.6 0.0 3.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0